Centre for International and Defence Policy

Centre for International and Defence Policy
Centre for International and Defence Policy

Future Trends in Military Interventions Workshop

Wednesday, April 16, 2014 - 8:30 am

Robert Sutherland Hall, Room 448
Queen's University


From both a Canadian and American perspective, the last ten years have seen a sustained engagement of military forces abroad. Although studies are emerging that attempt to assess the relative success of these efforts, what are the prospects for the immediate future? The year 2014 is an important landmark, as the ISAF mission in Afghanistan will end. Like the drawdown in Iraq, this transition will need to be managed carefully as NATO allies and partners transfer security responsibilities over to Afghan authorities. Can lessons be drawn from 13 years of military cooperation in Afghanistan or is the ISAF model of intervention best understood as a unique occurrence? The US and its allies have certainly gained valuable experience in terms of improving military coordination over this period, but can this be replicated in another context? This workshop will gather viewpoints from academics, practitioners and the military to discuss possible future trends in military interventions (5-10 year timeline), considering the post-2014 security environment. Participants will present a 2-page position paper, which will address the following themes:   

  • Is the threshold for military intervention higher in this war-weary political climate? What are the potential trigger points for Canada and the US when it comes to considering the use of force?
  • How will regional security concerns (in the Middle East, South Asia, East Asia) impact the ranking of international priorities for Canada, the US or NATO?
  • What are the implications of defence budget cuts for future military capabilities and overall capacity?
  • As the NATO experience in Afghanistan led to changes in how military interventions and allied coordination take place?

Following the workshop, participants will be invited (but not required) to draft a paper (3000-5000 words), which will be included in a special issue or edited volume.

AGENDA

Introductions 

09:00 - 09:30 

Opening Remarks -  Stéfanie von Hlatky , Director, Centre for International and Defence Policy

"RMAs from a Historical Perspective" -  Asa McKercher , Queen's 


Panel 1: Perspectives from the Field 

09:30 - 10:30

ModeratorAl Okros, CFC

"COMISAF Red Team: Perspectives on HQ ISAF and COIN" -  Anton Minkov, Heather Hrychuk, and Paul Dickson , DRDC 
"DART and the Philippines" - LCol Walter Taylor, CF 
"The Justification of War: Trends from Interview Data" - Stephanie Belanger, RMCC/CIMVHR 


Coffee Break 

10:30 - 10:45


Panel 2: Force Generation 

10:45 - 12:00

ModeratorCharles Pentland, CIDP/Queen's

"The Will to War" -  Major Christian Breede , CIDP/RMCC 
"Singularity of Combat Casualties" - Peter Tikuisis, DRDC 
"US Military Contracting: Past, Present and Future" - Aaron Ettinger, Queen's 


Lunch 

12:00 - 13:00


Panel 3: The Economic Crisis and Readiness 

13:00 - 14:00 pm

Moderator :  Andrew Grant, CIDP/Queen's

"Crewing Strategies for the Royal Canadian Navy's Future Ships" -   Commander Ian D.H. Wood , RCN 
"The Speed that Matters" -  LTC John Bates , CIDP 
"Throwing Money at the IED Challenge" -  Col Chris Barron , CIDP 
"Defence Policy 'Walmart Style': Canadian lessons in realism and 'not-so-grand' strategy" -  Christian Leuprecht and Joel Sokolsky, CIDP/RMCC/Bridgewater State University


Panel 4: War Weariness 

14:00 - 15:00

ModeratorAllan English, CIDP/Queen's

"Canadian Peacekeeping's Golden Age, 2.0" -  Bob Martyn, CIDP/Queen's 
"The Vietnam Syndrome Revisited" - Louis Delvoie, CIDP 
"War Weariness and Conflict Outcomes" - Eric Jardine, CIDP


Coffee Break 

15:00 - 15:15


Panel 5: Regional Security Trends 

15:15 - 16:15 pm

Moderator:  Jane Boulden , CIDP/RMCC

"Future Trends of the Canadian Security Operations in the Middle East" -  Ali Dizboni , CIDP/RMCC and  Peter Gizewski, DRDC 
"Going South? Current Focus of NATO, EU, Germany and France towards Africa" -  LCol Jan von der Felsen, CIDP 
"Canada's Security Interests in the Asia Pacific" -  Kim Nossal, CIDP/Policy Studies 
"Responding to More Natural and Man-made Disasters in the Developing World" -  Rachel Lea Heide, DRDC


Closing Remarks 

16:15

John Schram, Fellow, Centre for International and Defence Policy