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Understanding the latest COVID-19 modelling numbers

Friday, May 1, 2020

Queen’s University expert Troy Day (Mathematics and Statistics) is available to comment on the latest provincial COVID-19 modelling numbers and how the projections should be interpreted. Ontario has released new models projecting the future spread of the virus in the province. Dr.Day has been chosen to serve on the Provincial COVID-19 Modelling Consensus Table. 

“I am one of several people on the Table that conducts this type of research and together our goal is to draw on several mathematical results and models (both from our own work and that of others) to form a consensus opinion about the likely future dynamics of COVID-19” says Dr. Day. 

“It is difficult at this stage to be very specific about how much longer physical distancing will need to be in place. However, since we are just now reaching the peak it will be important to maintain these measures so that we come down the other side of the wave. If we relax these measures too soon we risk losing all the ground that has been gained during the past month and having things get out of control.” 

To arrange an interview, please contact communications officer Anne Craig (613-533-2877 or anne.craig@queensu.ca) or Julie Brown ( 613-532-8712 or Julie.brown@queensu.ca) at Queen’s University News and Media Services Department in Kingston, Ont., Canada.  

Follow Queen’s News and Media Services on Twitter: http://twitter.com/QueensuMedia.  





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